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Yellen Punts On State Of Economy
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February 10, 2016

2-10-2016 2-40-09 PM

Bulls hoped Yellen would deliver some dovish rhetoric but she didn’t say much overall.

Pundits struggled to offer something concrete regarding what Yellen had to say this day but could only offer the most diplomatic comments.

Finally, as stocks rallied modestly, early observers could only suggest what she hinted was interest rates would only rise “gradually”, if at all frankly. So that’s what passed for bullish news.

Yellen has another day of testimony before the senate. Given that, she’ll return to her focus groups at the Fed ascertaining what she might say next to push stocks higher. Her client/owners, the primary dealers (appx. 20 large banks), need to be encouraged.

By day’s end traders threw in the towel on the rally, at least for this day, and closed many of market sectors lower. Again, crude oil led markets lower along with materials and other commodities. Gold was higher and the dollar declined overall the Japanese yen rallied. Germany’s Deutsche Bank shares rallied near 10% on hopes a share buyback will come to fruition.

Market sectors moving higher included: Volatility (VIX), Healthcare (XLV), REITs (IYR), Homebuilders (ITB), Europe (VGK), Italy (EWI), Spain (EWP), Ireland (EIRL), Belgium (EWK), China (FXI), China Small Caps (HAO), Russia (RSX), Brazil (EWZ), Gold (GLD), Gold Stocks (GDX), Yen (FXY) and Treasury Bonds (TLT)

Market sectors moving lower included: Financials (XLF), Banks (KBE), Regional Banks (KRE), Energy (XLE), Industrials (XLI), Materials (XLB), MLPs (AMLP), Japan (EWJ), Hedged Japan (DXJ) India (EPI), Canada (EWC), India (EPI), Crude Oil (USO), Natural Gas (UNG) and so forth.

Below is the heat map from Finviz reflecting those ETF market sectors moving higher (green) and falling (red). Dependent on the day (green) may mean leveraged inverse or leveraged short (red).

2-10-2016 2-40-54 PM

Volume was still elevated and breadth per the WSJ was mixed.

2-10-2016 2-42-28 PM

12-17-2015 9-04-44 PM Chart of the Day

 

 

 

2-10-2016 2-42-57 PM NIKK

 

 

Charts of the Day
  • SPY 5 MINUTE

    SPY  5  MINUTE

  • SPX DAILY

    SPX DAILY

  • SPX WEEKLY

    SPX WEEKLY

  • INDU DAILY

    INDU DAILY

  • INDU WEEKLY

    INDU WEEKLY

  • RUT WEEKLY

    RUT WEEKLY

  • NDX WEEKLY

    NDX WEEKLY

  • XLB WEEKLY

    XLB WEEKLY

  • XLE WEEKLY

    XLE WEEKLY

  • XLF WEEKLY

    XLF WEEKLY

  • KRE WEEKLY

    KRE WEEKLY

  • XLI WEEKLY

    XLI WEEKLY

  • XLV WEEKLY

    XLV WEEKLY

  • IYR WEEKLY

    IYR WEEKLY

  • ITB WEEKLY

    ITB WEEKLY

  • XLY WEEKLY

    XLY WEEKLY

  • XLU WEEKLY

    XLU WEEKLY

  • MUB WEEKLY

    MUB WEEKLY

  • TLT WEEKLY

    TLT WEEKLY

  • UUP WEEKLY

    UUP WEEKLY

  • FXY WEEKLY

    FXY WEEKLY

  • GLD WEEKLY

    GLD WEEKLY

  • GDX MONTHLY

    GDX MONTHLY

  • SLV MONTHLY

    SLV MONTHLY

  • USO MONTHLY

    USO MONTHLY

  • EFA WEEKLY

    EFA WEEKLY

  • IEV WEEKLY

    IEV WEEKLY

  • EEM WEEKLY

    EEM WEEKLY

  • NYMO DAILY

    NYMO  DAILY

    The NYMO is a market breadth indicator that is based on the difference between the number of advancing and declining issues on the NYSE. When readings are +60/-60 markets are extended short-term.


     

  • NYSI DAILY

    NYSI DAILY

    The McClellan Summation Index is a long-term version of the McClellan Oscillator. It is a market breadth indicator, and interpretation is similar to that of the McClellan Oscillator, except that it is more suited to major trends. I believe readings of +1000/-1000 reveal markets as much extended.

  • VIX WEEKLY

    VIX WEEKLY

    The VIX is a widely used measure of market risk and is often referred to as the "investor fear gauge". Our own interpretation has changed due to a variety of new factors including HFTs, new VIX linked ETPs and a multitude of new products to leverage trading and change or obscure prior VIX relevance. 

Was this just more wasted buying power Wednesday? It looks like it.

Before putting the week in a bust category let’s see how Janet is able to communicate dovishness to an unconvinced audience of investors. She and her focus group will be keeping the lights on at 33 Liberty until late as they craft a new message for senators.

Let’s see what happens.

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Dave Fry is founder and publisher of ETF Digest and has been covering U.S. and global ETFs since 2001.

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ETF Digest was awarded one of the most informative ETF websites in the10th Annual Global ETF Awards.



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Disclaimer: The charts and comments are only the author's view of market activity and aren't recommendations to buy or sell only any security. Market sectors and related ETF's are selected based on his opinion as to their importance in providing the viewer a comprehensive summary of market conditions for the featured period. Chart annotation's aren't predictive of any future market action rather they only demonstrate the author's opinion as to a range of possibilities going forward. More detailed information, including actionable alerts, are available to subscribers at www.etfdigest.com

 

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